All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Monday, 8 February 2016

Delicious Irony Re CSIRO and Prof Bob Carter

Cartoon by Bob's Friend (and co-author)  John Spooner
Professor Bob Carter often revealed the flaws in  C.S.I.R.O's statements. (Bob called CSIRO - Sigh-Row) 

As an example, when talking of the now defunct Flannery-led Climate Commission said:
The game is rather given away by the following style of disclaimer, which is inserted inside the front cover of all climate consultancy reports prepared by CSIRO, one of the groups that acts as a model-provider to the IPCC:

This report relates to climate change scenarios based on computer modelling. Models involve simplifications of the real processes that are not fully understood. Accordingly, no responsibility will be accepted by CSIRO or the QLD government for the accuracy of forecasts or predictions inferred from this report or for any person’s interpretations, deductions, conclusions or actions in reliance on this report. (my bold)
See also:

Governments should address Climate Hazards instead of futilely trying to stop Climate Change (an address by Prof Bob Carter)


The delicious irony is, two weeks after Professor Carter's Funeral, the new Chief Executive of the

Governments should address Climate Hazards instead of futliely trying to stop Climate Change


Revisiting a 2011 address by Professor Bob Carter  on "Climate Context as a basis for Better Policy", given at the University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba.

The main theme of Bob's address was that Governments should not waste money on trying to stop climate change, but rather should use funds preparing for Climate Caused Disasters.

Some of the main points:



Horses for Courses. (53m) 


There is no such thing as a Global Climate. It doesn't exist. It's an imaginary construct for the scientists to think about and play with. Nobody lives in a Global Climate. We all live in a local climate and those local climates have risks; and it's the job of the government to assess those risks and have a policy to deal with them when they eventuate.

......aside from tsunami-risk, Australia’s greatest environmental hazards are all climate-related. Droughts, floods, cyclones and large bushfires — Australia has them all in spades.

It must be recognised that the theoretical hazard of dangerous human-caused global warming is but

Friday, 5 February 2016

Scientists hide uncertainties about (Man Made) Climate Change

Such deceit has no place in science.
Michael Bastasch, writing for the Daily Caller:
A recent study looking into how scientists explain global warming uncertainty to the public has some interesting findings: Many scientists don’t actually talk about uncertainty when speaking to journalists.

The study by German researcher Senja Post of University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany surveyed 300 Scientists.

The study was published in the journal
Public Understanding of Science
January 2016 vol. 25 no. 1 61-70 (LINK)

Communicating science in public controversies: Strategic considerations of the German climate scientists

Abstract (Note area with bold added)

In public controversies on scientific issues, scientists likely consider the effects of their findings on journalists and on the public debate. A representative survey of 123 German climate scientists (42%) finds that although most climate scientists think that uncertainties about climate change should be made clearer in public they do not actively communicate this to journalists. Moreover, the climate scientists fear that their results could be misinterpreted in public or exploited by interest groups. Asking scientists about their readiness to publish one of two versions of a fictitious research finding shows that their concerns weigh heavier when a result implies that climate change will proceed slowly than when it implies that climate change will proceed fast.
 
As Bastasch also points out:
Post also found that “climate scientists object to publishing a result in the media significantly more when it indicates that climate change proceeds more slowly rather

Thursday, 4 February 2016

It’s the Sun, Stupid!

Another Issue of "Carbon Sense” prepared for The Carbon Sense Coalition 
by Viv Forbes and volunteer helpers.

 Please help us to spread the word.  To subscribe click: http://carbon-sense.com/contact-us/



5th  February 2016

This cartoon may be used freely providing the author, Steve Hunter, 
and the source is acknowledged: www.carbon-sense.com 
   
Those who think the political war on carbon will lower Earth’s temperature or keep climate stable need to study climate history.

Temperatures on Earth dance to a cyclic rhythm every hour, every day, every month, every season, every year, and to every beat of the sun-spot and glacial cycles.

The daily solar cycle causes continual changes in temperature for every spot on Earth. It produces the frosts at dawn, the mid-day heat and the cooling at sunset. It is regulated by rotation of the Earth.

Superimposed on the daily solar cycle is the monthly lunar cycle, driven by the orbit of the Moon around the Earth. These two cycles interact to produce variations in atmospheric pressure and tides, and currents in the oceans and the atmosphere. These are the daily weather makers.

The yearly seasonal cycle is caused as the tilted axis of Earth’s rotation affects the intensity of solar energy received by each hemisphere. This produces spring, summer, autumn and winter for every spot on Earth.

Then there is the 22 year sun-spot cycle, which correlates with cycles of floods and droughts. Sunspot

John Christy's testimony. More bad news for the Alarmists.


"When a theory contradicts the facts, you need to change the theory."


John Christy testified before the U.S. House Committee on Science, Space & Technology on  2 Feb 2016 (LINK -pdf)

Fig. 1: Five-year averaged values of annual mean (1979-2015) global bulk (termed
“midtropospheric” or “MT”) temperature as depicted by the average of 102 IPCC CMIP5
climate models (red), the average of 3 satellite datasets (green - UAH, RSS, NOAA)
and 4 balloon datasets (blue, NOAA, UKMet, RICH, RAOBCORE).


I shall begin with a discussion that was precipitated by an increasingly active campaign of negative assertions made against the observations, i.e. the data, of upper air temperatures. Figure 1 in particular has drawn considerable attention from those who view the climate system as undergoing a rapid, human-caused transformation into a climate to which people would have great difficulty adapting. This simple chart tells the story that the average model projection, on which their fears (or hopes?) are based, does poorly for the fundamental temperature metric that is allegedly the most responsive to extra greenhouse gases - the bulk atmospheric temperature of the layer from the surface to 50,000ft. 

As with all who show where the Warmists' greenhouse gas theory falls apart, John describes being
tossed into a world more closely associated with character assassination and

Tuesday, 2 February 2016

Australian Government wastes billions on Climate Change Hoax. Tim Flannery should be ashamed.


Cartoons by Josh
Listen to Alan Jones and  Craig Kelly on 2GB - http://www.2gb.com/audioplayer/152586

Preamble by Alan re the recent deluge of rain in Sydney, Darwin, St Kilda, Hervey Bay, Bundaberg, Tasmania and flood warnings re cyclone Stan in W.A.

Alan:
Craig Kelly, member for Hughes does his homework and talks the language of his electorate. (Last week Craig attended the funeral of Professor Bob Carter.)

Alan says he doesn’t know of a Federal MP more in touch and that Craig has done some homework on previous Australian of the year, Tim Flannery.

Some of Flannery’s predictions. Back then Flannery said  to play a thought game ten years on i.e. 2016:

Wednesday, 27 January 2016

Gore's Tip of Tipping Point Busted.

From: Global Warming Racket and Climate Change Superscam
If you are reading this, Al Gore is wrong. We haven't all been fried and died.

While pushing his Science Fiction propaganda piece, An Inconvenient Truth, Al Gore appeared at the Sundance Film Festival in Utah, on Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2006. At the time, CBS News reported:
The former vice president came to town for the premiere of "An Inconvenient Truth," a documentary chronicling what has become his crusade since losing the 2000 presidential election: Educating the masses that global warming is about to toast our ecology and our way of life. 
Gore has been saying it for decades, since a college class in the 1960s convinced him that greenhouse gases from oil, coal and other carbon emissions were trapping the sun's heat in the atmosphere, resulting in a glacial meltdown that could flood much of the planet.
Same old stuff that the alarmists have been pushing, year in, year out and as the AGW hoax gets revealed brick by brick, they become shriller and shriller. But how's this for shrill?  Al Gore predicted that, unless action was taken, we would reach the point of no return; the tipping point.
And politicians and corporations have been ignoring the issue for decades, to the point that unless drastic measures to reduce greenhouse gases are taken within the next 10 years, the world will reach a point of no return, Gore said.
Well, Al, we have passed that point. Why were you so stupid as to mention a decade. Others among the shrill use terms like "at the end of the century" Still stupid, but not as stupid as just a decade.

Have we hit the tipping point? According to SS - UNSkeptical UNScience's trend calculator there has been less than one tenth of a degree of warming (with odd error bars)


And yet, CO2 has risen from about 380ppm to 400 ppm in that period. This can be explained by the Logarithmic effect of CO2 which shows that the first 50ppm does the most warming (Source)
As Bob Carter explained in Taxing Air, the concept of a tipping point is unscientific:
....the extra warming caused by adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere diminishes in magnitude with increasing gas concentration, less warming is caused by each successive increment in carbon dioxide. Therefore, most of the impact of carbon dioxide on Earth’s global temperature was produced by the first 50 ppm of concentration of the gas in the Earth’s atmosphere, and further increases in concentration beyond that have exercised, and will continue to exercise in future, a diminishing incremental increase in global temperature. The concept of a ‘tipping point’, beyond which global warming accelerates, is not supported by any known science.
So, Al, your theory that CO2 would cause a "tipping point" has been busted. CO2, instead of roasting the planet, has been greening it.  

Apologise and give the money back!